
April 1, 2006
Recent public discussion emerging from Oregon’s gubernatorial race focuses on, and at times exaggerates, the costs to Oregon of providing certain public services to undocumented immigrant workers and their families. Relatively little has been mentioned about the contributions undocumented workers make to Oregon.
Undocumented workers are an important part of Oregon’s economy. The work they perform is vital in certain industries. In addition, a substantial portion of the roughly $2 billion they earn in income each year is spent on goods, services, and taxes in Oregon, to the benefit of the state economy.
This issue brief estimates the total contributions by undocumented Oregon workers in state income taxes, property taxes, and excise taxes. In addition, this issue brief computes the approximate amount undocumented workers pay in federal Social Security and Medicare taxes, which are matched by employers. Last, it also estimates the amount Oregon employers pay in state unemployment insurance taxes on behalf of undocumented workers.
Data on undocumented workers is limited. Though it is not possible to determine precisely the tax contributions made by undocumented workers, the available data allows reasonable estimates of the likely scale of tax payments they make.
The first step in computing the approximate taxes paid by undocumented workers in Oregon is to determine the size of the undocumented population. The OCPP drew on two data sources in establishing this estimate.
The first source is a report completed for the bipartisan Independent Task Force on Immigration and America’s Future by the Pew Hispanic Center. This report estimates that in the 2002-04 period, there were between 100,000 and 150,000 undocumented immigrants living in Oregon, and that the actual population in 2002-04 was probably at the high end of that range. It is likely that Oregon’s undocumented immigrant population has increased since 2002-04.
Additionally, a report by the former Immigration and Naturalization Service (now the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services bureau) estimates that Oregon’s undocumented resident population in 2000 was about 90,000, and that it had grown by about 6,400 people annually over the 1990s. Assuming the same average annual growth occurred since 2000, Oregon’s undocumented population in 2006 would be 128,000.
The OCPP conservatively estimates Oregon’s undocumented immigrant population at between 128,000 and 150,000.
Undocumented workers tend to work in low-wage jobs, and therefore have low incomes. Nationally, undocumented workers are concentrated in low-wage farming, cleaning, construction, and food preparation jobs.
The Pew Hispanic Center has estimated the income of undocumented “families” in the U.S. and in Oregon. In these estimates, individual undocumented immigrants count as “families,” as do couples with and without children.
According to the Pew Hispanic Center, Oregon’s undocumented immigrant families average $24,300 in annual income.
In the aggregate, undocumented immigrant workers living in Oregon earn between $1.9 billion and $2.2 billion in income annually.
To estimate how much undocumented Oregon immigrants pay in state income taxes, property taxes, and excise taxes such as gas and cigarette taxes, the OCPP relied upon data from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP), a non-profit, non-partisan research and education organization based in Washington, D.C. that provides tax information to state policy makers and others. ITEP maintains a model of state and local tax structures that allows researchers to estimate the state and local tax contributions of families at different income levels.
ITEP’s model can be used to estimate the tax contributions of undocumented immigrant families. We made two adjustments to ITEP’s basic model so it could better estimate the taxes paid by undocumented immigrants. First, the model was adjusted so that all households are assumed to be renters, not homeowners. This was done so that property taxes would be more accurately apportioned to them. OCPP assumes that few, if any, undocumented immigrants pay property taxes as homeowners. Second, since studies suggest that between 50 and 70 percent of undocumented workers pay income and payroll taxes, the OCPP conservatively adjusted the model to subject only half (50 percent) of the income earned by undocumented workers in Oregon to state income taxes.
The OCPP estimates that undocumented immigrants contribute annually to Oregon between $66 million and $77 million in state income taxes, property taxes, and excise taxes such as gas and cigarette taxes.
Undocumented workers may also have Social Security and Medicare taxes withheld from their paychecks. OCPP again conservatively assumes that half of undocumented workers in Oregon pay these payroll taxes. These taxes help to fund federal social programs that will not benefit undocumented workers unless in the future they become legal U.S. residents.
OCPP estimates that undocumented immigrant workers in Oregon pay between $58 million and $67 million annually in Social Security taxes, which is matched with employer contributions.
Undocumented immigrants in Oregon pay another $13 million to $16 million annually in Medicare taxes that are also matched by employer contributions.
Public debate about undocumented workers in Oregon should be informed by an understanding of the significant contributions these workers make to Oregon’s economy as workers, consumers, and taxpayers. The labor of undocumented workers is crucial to certain industries. They purchase products and services in Oregon with the roughly $2 billion in income they earn annually. Finally, they are taxpayers, contributing millions of dollars annually to Oregon’s tax base and to the federal Social Security and Medicare systems. These taxes paid by undocumented workers total about $137 million to $160 million annually. Taxes paid by Oregon employers on behalf of undocumented workers total about $100 million to $117 million annually.
Undocumented workers are ineligible for the Oregon Health Plan, food stamps, and temporary cash assistance. They may receive some emergency services, and their children (most of whom are probably U.S. citizens) may attend public school. At the same time, undocumented workers contribute substantially to Oregon’s economy, through their labor, their purchases, and the taxes they pay.
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